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Ed
Seykota's FAQ
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FAQ March 1-31 2020
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March 19, 2022
Tribe Report
Dear Ed,
My hot seat report of 5th of March 2022, in Berlin:
I'm
the second person on the hot seat. 4 men are sitting in a circle next
to me. I'm starting by saying that I feel hot fire in my breast.
I
feel anger. And for the entire session before I am angry at our
Chief. I think he's not doing his job right and I would do it
better. I try to feel the feeling of anger in myself but I don't
know where it comes from. My Chief encourages me to feel the anger.
My
speech is still floating above my emotions and I am trying to
rationalise everything. I say I know there's something I want to talk
about in this moment. I don't know what it is. I was so convinced
that I would come up with emotions but I can't right now.
The
last time I did it I cried a lot. The last time I was afraid of my
mother who terrorizes me as I was young. Now the feelings are coming. I
feel my mother who is larger then everything and talks on me and
I'm helpless and I see my best friend who I am visiting right now
in Berlin who kills himself with drugs.
I cannot stand my
inability to help them. I feel the want to tell my mother that she
doesn't have to hate me for being a boy and a man.
It's
not my fault that my grandfather was a bad father to my mother and I'm
not responsible for everything other men do in the world. I feel guilty
for not being able to help my mother overcoming her issues with the
dad. I realize that it is a stupid expectation if me to tell that to my
mum when I'm only a child.
And I see my best friend dying
from drugs and being soaked up by black Darkness. I have to let him go
because otherwise the darkness catches me too and kills me as well.
And
my chief motivates me to "feel the helplessness." He encourages me
to feel the pain of not being in control. I feel it. And it hurts so
much. But it is satisfying for me.
I display three forms. I scratch my eyes. A stamp my feet repeatedly. And I rub my left feet over the floor.
Then
somehow I approach the feeling of dissolvment. I feel the fear one
feels when one disappears. when one dissolves himself to nothing. I
don't want to feel that.
When he encourages me to feel the judge I feel the the judge and I resist to feel dissolvment. And it's satisfying.
I
resist hard and it's so satisfying to resist and I really don't want to
feel it. My energy leaves me. My body feels wasted.
Now
he offers me to try something new. I say yes. He sits in front of
me with a chair. I look into his face. Can speak after him. I
realize that it is ok. I realize I'm not in control and that it is ok
to not be in control. and to fell the helplessness, to feel the
feeling of not being able to help paradoxically gives me control.
It
gives me control and complete power over myself and over my own
choices. To control my own actions is the only control I have. And I
let other people do what they want and I do what I want. I don't want
to feel the feeling of to dissolve still. And then I stop and I
say I will try to the feeling of dissolvment the next time. They
agree after trying to go into the emotions with me a couple of time.
But I resist again and again. Session over.
After the
session I feel clean, full of energy, I feel pure, I know exactly what
I want and exactly what I don't want. My voice drops. It sounds nice
and deep and has base. My singing is much more beautiful and more
masculine. Reaching higher notes is more difficult and almost
impossible.
I learn that I have to keep a distance of
people that are controlled by drama and that provocating them is not a
good idea when I don't want to be drawn into their drama, which is very
dangerous.
Thank you for your time Ed. And thank you for
sharing all your knowledge to the world. I wholeheartedly
appreciate your effort.
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Thank you for sharing your process and for documenting your meeting.
Congratulations to your Tribe and to you Chief for exemplifying excellent process management.
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March
18, 2022
Cycles and
Timing
How are you Ed?
I hope all is well and you've been staying safe given the pandemic
we've experienced.
I'm wondering in the years of your trading how much importance you've
given to market cycles/timing as inputs to initiate a trade(s).
I think I'm asking that in a way that you understand....that I'm clear.
I've taken the liberty to tag you in a LI post....a gentleman there has
uncanny predictive reports that produce good results....i.e., called
the covid, geopolitical (Russia Ukraine), etc and impact on markets. I
know "we don't predict a nonexistent future"... but timing a market can
be advantageous.
I hope tagging you is ok....if not, please let me know and I will
refrain from doing so going forward.
Wish you the best and stay safe. I think of you a lot, learned so much
from you as trader and person.
Thank you Ed.
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Thank
you for sharing your process and for raising a trading question.
Trend Following systems tend to handle issues about cycles, and timing
- as well as position sizing and risk management.
You might consider asking your uncanny friend to show you his actual
brokerage statements to find out more about how he implements his
"predictions" through actual trading.
Per the "Fundamentals" of Covid: After evaluating the notion of wearing cloth masks to
prevent transmission of viruses, I consider implementing chain-link
fencing around my ranch to protect it from mosquitos.
Alas, that only incites the geckos to stage anti-fence demonstrations.

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Gecko Power
"You have no right to cut off our food supply."
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Image
Credit |
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March
14, 2022
Long Options
Hi Ed,
Another question I had as well, please. What is your view on
using long options to trade and trend follow?
They seem like the perfect trading tool in many ways - risk always
clearly defined (cannot lose more than premium paid),
leverage (ie. delta) increases as your position gets more in the money
and decreases as your position goes against you.
Long options completely cuts off any possible left tail issues and adds
to your position when it goes your way and reduces when it goes against
you.
Of course there is a time issue with options but this can be somewhat
mitigated by using longer term options. There is also a
volatility issue of course which has to be taken into account - perhaps
only trade when volatility is low?
Many thanks
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Thank
you for raising this issue.
You might consider creating a synthetic long option by entering a long
position plus a protective stop.
You can run some back tests to evaluate the relative costs and dynamics
of these approaches.
In general, sticking with a pretty-good plan to participate may
contribute more to your profits than trying to optimize your trading
instruments.
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March
13, 2022
Dosing the
Duckweed
Dear Ed,
I own 4 fish tanks. One of them houses neocaridina shrimp and sits next
to my computer desk. It is covered with duckweed on the surface. I
forgot to dose it with liquid fertilizer for two weeks and the duckweed
almost died back entirely. I control the level of duckweed by
controlling the dosing frequency at a quantity recommended for the 5
gallon tank size.
Best
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Thank
you for sharing your process.
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March
10, 2022
Changing
World Order
Greetings, Ed —
I hope this email finds you well.
I read investor Ray Dalio’s new book “Principles for Dealing with the
Changing World Order” and find it an excellent complement to “Govopoly”.
Ray identifies recurring themes in the rise & fall of
world-dominant empires over the last 500 years—from the Dutch to the
British then to the US (now in decline) & China (ascendant).
An empire’s progression from hard money to fiat then rampant money
printing strikes a chord in me as I reflect on current actions of the
US Treasury & Fed.
He has a good YouTube video that covers the book’s main points — https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8
I found especially useful the video’s discussion of reserve currencies
(@ 24:24, 29:25, 32:00 marks) and the money printing it enables.
At 37:12 he states less than 20% of the roughly 750 currencies that
existed since 1700 remain & they are all devalued.
—Best,
P.S. I like Ray’s Twitter feed—here’s a recent tweet—“There are no
greater battles than those between our feelings (most importantly
controlled by our amygdala, which operates subconsciously) and our
rational thinking (most importantly controlled by our prefrontal
cortex, which operates consciously).”
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Thank
you for sharing your reactions.
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March
7, 2022
Tribe Report
Ed,
Last Sunday on a rather cold and unfriendly day in Berlin a new Tribe
sprung into existence as five individuals met in the rooms of a
cosmetic studio.
As one of the participants I am writing this report to reflect on my
experiences during this first Tribe meeting through which I have
already learned how professionally our egos operate as gatekeepers for
the emotions that we invariably create within.
I was curious and exited even before entering the hot seat, probably in
an unconscious expectancy of what I was about to discover. The urge of
changing something, of knowing more and of admitting to myself that
mistakes have been done was a strong one within me and it built up for
about 5 years. In contrast, the knowledge I possessed regarding the TTP
process was rather minuscule.
As I started my discovery on the seat I drew a rather abstract picture
of the problems and symptoms I intended to address, as if I was asking
an oracle for cheap but great advice and guidance.
It took me a few minutes, 10 or so, to draw tighter and tighter circles
around what seemed to be the most important issue regarding my mental
health and personal happiness.
A Tribe member intervened at some point and took on the role of the
Chief for a few minutes, revealing his kind hearted intentions and his
urge to be of help.
Being new to TTP, it nevertheless took me some time to let go of many
insecurities of which I have been grown fond of.
A process began in which the Chief, who smelled what my ego has been so
hardly trained at hiding from him and the others by listening
mindfully, was successfully able in helping me to, as Mr Reagan once
said addressing Mr Gorbatschow, "Tear down this wall" (lol).
My ego surrendered and for 15 minutes I was able to let the flood of
emotions flow through my body which manifested itself through a
constant, overwhelming and extensive trembling and tension within my
whole body.
My breathing got more intense minute by minute and not thinking much I
just felt and went through the process.
After 10 or 15 minutes we checked out and, being very exhausted, I went
for a short walk. It was an intense process. I often think and think
too much, imagining that every problems solutions has a rational answer
in the world of ideas. There was nothing alike to be found within my
process. Just feelings and exhaustion.
I thank my Tribe members and especially the Chief for being the kind
hearted persons their are and for being able to exist in this special
environment even just for a few hours every months in which we, all
return seeking market participants, help each other to exist without
tying this world of emotions communication to the capitalistic world of
returns and time value.
I love trading and I love money but the love for humans, the love for
understanding and the love for community shall always be a greater
power.
Thanks!
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Thank
you for sharing your process.
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March
7, 2022
$5,400 per
Month
Dear Ed,
I hope you have been doing well. It has been a couple of months since I
last submitted to FAQ.
I continue to progress as a programmer refining my code every month.
Recently I learn about websockets and am now able to stream real time
data.
I'm now able to build a system that is always in the market, long or
short, however the system takes the full position right after the
signal, I want to implement scaling.
I notice TSP doesn't have a section on scaling, do you mind providing
me and the FAQ community with some examples of how a system may
implement position scaling or position pyramiding?
Before I sign off, Ed says everybody gets what they want from the stock
market. Well I want $5400 a month from the stock/futures market through
trading profits.
Thank you
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Thank
you for sharing your process and for raising a question about scaling.
You might consider trying various scaling algorithms in your
back-testing engine to find some that fit your trading style.
So far, from your declaration, I can tell you want to say you want
$5,400 a month. Note: you already have that.
Actually getting $5,400 a month might require some actual intention in
the form of implementing a structure to get it.
Note: you might consider going for $5,400
or more per month - as getting exactly $5,400 might
require considerable fine tuning.
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March
5, 2022
Relating to
Father
Dear Ed,
You advise me:
"Go talk to your father, ask him how he feels, and wait for his
answer. Do Not judge, Do Not speak. Just Wait."
Though we love each other fiercely, my father and I have a love-hate
relationship. He sets unrealistic expectations and asks me to
do things without consulting my feelings.
Naturally, I become a rebel with peculiar pleasure by disagreeing with
my father on any account.
The moment my father passes away, I have a terrible feeling of
emptiness in me that I suddenly become an orphan and by losing my
father I no longer have anybody to rebel against.
I am fortunate to find your website and have the opportunity to consult
with you.
This morning I had a profound and emotional conversation with my
father. I have a better understanding of my father and
myself. My father always wants to be a good father to me but
he didn't know how to. And I realize that most of the
struggles between a parent and their children can trace back to the
parent's childhood and their control-centric relationship with their
own parents. The struggle becomes a vicious cycle if not
corrected properly.
Thanks to you, my relationship with my children has improved.
I learn to use the Intimacy-Centric approach you have been teaching in
the Tribe.
I listen with attentiveness and refrain from judgment. My
desire of becoming a better person/a better parent has triumphed over
the inner resistance. However, to live a life transitioning
from control-centric to intimacy-centric requires conscious practice on
the daily basis.
Chief, Thank you for all your help! Take care!
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Thank
you for sharing your process.
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