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November
23-30, 2003
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Questions
(Quotes
from Ed in Red)
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Answers
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Sun, 30 Nov 2003
Co-dependent
(Inter Tribe Email)
ref: Co-dependency
Co-dependency is an emotional and behavioral condition that affects an
individual’s ability to have a healthy, mutually satisfying relationship.
Co-dependents
typically exhibit “relationship addiction;" they form or maintain
relationships that are one-sided, emotionally destructive and/or abusive.
Symptoms include:
An exaggerated sense of responsibility for the actions of others.
A tendency to confuse love and pity, with the tendency to “love”
people they can pity and rescue.
A tendency to do more than their share, all of the time.
A tendency to become hurt when people don’t recognize their efforts.
An unhealthy dependence on relationships. The co-dependent will do
anything to hold on to a relationship; to avoid the feeling of
abandonment.
An extreme need for approval and recognition.
A sense of guilt when asserting themselves.
A compelling need to control others.
Lack of trust in self and/or others.
Fear of being abandoned or alone.
Difficulty identifying feelings.
Rigidity/difficulty adjusting to change.
Problems with intimacy/boundaries.
Poor communications.
Difficulty making decisions.
A typical pattern:
1) Acknowledge the problem
2) Validate the problem
3) Explain (justify) the problem
4) Continue with solving (drama) the problem.
|
TTP
treats co-dependency the same way it treats other forms of emotional
conditions: namely, by encouraging communication of experience between
Fred and CM.
Once
the experience passes freely, Fred no longer needs to arrange drama to focus
attention on the experience, the emotional control panel clears and drama
tends to disappear.
Analytic
therapies are typically ineffective in promoting the flow of experience
between Fred and CM. Furthermore, they tend to enroll the analyst as
another actor in the drama.
Lists
of symptoms (left) can be useful in TTP as entry points, to start the
process of locating and expressing feelings.
A
good receiver (listener) typically encourages communications of all types, including
analytics and other experience avoidance strategies.
He
may then call attention to the sender's analytics (without responding to the
content) by encouraging, "that's great ... do more of that ... keep
analyzing and avoiding showing any feeling." This tends to
dissolve the analytics so the sender can continue approaching the feeling.
Attempts
on the part of the receiver to engage the analytical content, "ok, ok,
that's a trust issue, you're co-dependent all-rightie," runs the risk
derailing TTP by enabling further avoidance drama.
Co-dependents
tend to relate to the markets the same way they relate to other
people. In trading, lack of trust in self, holding on, controlling,
trouble adjusting to change, and difficulty making decisions all tend to
work against long-term profitability.

It's
all Experience ...
even
wanting to avoid experiencing.
Clip: http://www.thesee.com/images/
pictos_du_site/experience.gif |
|
Sun, 30 Nov 2003
Happy
Thanksgiving
to You and Your
Family
Dear Ed,
Have you and your family a wonderful and joyful Thanksgiving Holiday !!!
P.S. My life has changed ever since I started to adhere to the principles of
TTP and in particular to trend following. I feel power and am powerful and I
need be as I am becoming a father. You have allowed me to regroup all
my forgotten talents in order to implement (in C++), test and deploy a
profitable and fully automated futures trading platform over the last 12
months. Without your perspective on life I would have never dreamed of being
able to achieve this objective.
Forever grateful !!! |
Congratulations
on your fatherhood. Parenting is Job #1.

Father
holding
his young teacher
Clip: http://users.lmi.net/
~jeaneger/father.jpg |
|
Sat, 29 Nov 2003
Contrarian
Hi Ed,
I recently found your website, it has great
information. I have a question about myself. When I was in third grade
I remember a
situation in class explicitly. The teacher asked the question 'does heat
rise or sink?'.
I raised my hand
that heat rises, while the rest of the class raised for sink. One girl in
the class yelled at me saying why would the mountains be cold if heat rises?
The teacher asked
me if I wanted to change my answer. The mountain logic seemed right so I
changed my answer. Once the truth came out the same girl in class yelled at
me again saying I should have stayed with my original answer.
I'm now 30 years
old and have always been a contrarian. I'm wondering if this episode helped
contribute to my always going against the crowd or if it's just in a persons
nature to do so?
Thanks, |
Hot
air rises. Heat is a property of mass and neither rises nor falls. Air
in the mountains has lower pressure, and by PV=NRT has lower temperature.
Sometimes
the public is on the trend, sometimes against it, so a trend follower may
sometimes be a contrarian.
To
explore your own feelings about the yelling lass in your physics class, you
might take them to a Tribe meeting.

Mary
Mary Quite Contrary
How
Does your Garden Grow?
A
true contrarian would be
out
there with her watering can
in
the middle of winter.
http://www.artfinders.com/printart/
gustafsons/images/mary-mary.jpg |
|
Sat, 29 Nov 2003
Borderline
Hi Ed,
You don't know me and I don't know you. But I've been reading FAQ for more
than a few months.
I'm a graduate student of Literature at Rutgers, and I like what I like. I
can't help it.
I saw "Borderline - A Fractal Poem" this morning, and then I read
it. I like it. It made me think of a group of poets and artists I thought
that you might like to know about if you haven't heard of them. The group
is [xyz]. They use patterns from mathematics, logic, chess and others
they make up as constraints (which is, of course, what poetic forms are) and
then they go on to show how those constraints are really the seeds of
creative potential, that anything that seems like a limit has some loophole,
how there will be "errors" in all systems. They're a great bunch
of fun. They are an extension of Surrealism and DADA, and all that came
before those movements, just like I'm the son of my father and mother. The
big daddy of the group is (dead) Georges Perec who wrote an entire novel
without using any e's, and wrote the worlds longest known palindrome of
something like 500 or 5000 words. Italo Calvino is the other (dead) well
known figure. The group still meets, in Paris I think, and they are one of
the longest standing literary groups. There are lots of other groups of
artists, musicians and so forth clustered around them that might be of
interest to you.
I hope all goes well with you and your book and any more poems you may chose
to produce (or do they produce us?).
A reader,
|
OK. |
|
Fri, 28 Nov 2003
FOREX
Ed -
Happy thanksgiving! Quick question - Have you ever used trend following to
trade currencies / FOREX? This market appears to be very receptive to trend
following and is still "new" to the retail investor.
I wonder if this
newness is similar to the futures and stock markets in the early 70's, when
trend following worked much better then it does now.
Your thoughts are appreciated.
Thanks and take care. |
FAQ
does not endorse traders or commercial products, or offer
instrument-specific trading advice,
If
you continue to work your trading according to Trend Following principles,
you tend to make more money in vigorously trending markets.
If
you select trending markets to trade, you may enhance your chances of
catching some good trends.

To
Catch More Fish
go
where the fish are.
Clip:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/
kids/vicepresident/ |
|
Fri, 28 Nov 2003
Ultimate
Intention
Hi Ed,
Could you please elaborate about your ultimate intention? (see TTP Ground
Rules)
Would the FAQ and
Trading Tribe disappear sometime next year?
|
It
seems to keep disappearing and re-appearing.

Clip: http://www.simons-rock.edu/~dand/
newerasgal/pages/disappear.htm
|
|
Fri, 28 Nov 2003
Seminar
Good Morning,
I would like to know when Seykota gonna present other seminar.
Thanks
|
He
do it in this ever-evolving moment of now, likely when now is 2004.

Standing
in Numbers
Clip:
http://photo1.dukenews.duke.edu/pages/
Chris%20Hildreth/Class%20of%202004.jpg
|
|
Fri, 28 Nov 2003
Co-Dependency & e-TTP
Dear e-friends,
It's said that Fred likes to set up dramas where the individual has less
risk control. I have this feeling (actually certainty) that my biggest
dramas are in the realm of relationships. So I wish and I need to share more
about this disturbing issue:
Co-dependency is a learned behavior that can be passed down from one
generation to another. It is an emotional and behavioral condition that
affects an individual’s ability to have a healthy, mutually satisfying
relationship. It is also known as “relationship addiction” because
people with codependency often form or maintain relationships that are
one-sided, emotionally destructive and/or abusive.
Here I also outline underlying feelings which can be taken into TTP:
An exaggerated sense of responsibility for the actions of others. A tendency
to confuse love and pity, with the tendency to “love” people they can
pity and rescue. A tendency to do more than their share, all of the time. A
tendency to become hurt when people don’t recognize their efforts. An
unhealthy dependence on relationships. The co-dependent will do anything to
hold on to a relationship; to avoid the feeling of abandonment. An extreme
need for approval and recognition. A sense of guilt when asserting
themselves. A compelling need to control others. Lack of trust in self
and/or others. Fear of being abandoned or alone. Difficulty identifying
feelings. Rigidity/difficulty adjusting to change. Problems with
intimacy/boundaries. Poor communications Difficulty making decisions.
I acknowledge all of these difficulties or problems, although generally in
the context of relationships (e.g., poor communications, difficulty making
decisions and identifying feelings).
I wonder someone can actually 'receive' all of this.
Best regards,
|
You
seem to like to continue to solve solve your "co-dependency" with
e-TTP.
Email-TTP
(e-TPP) is inherently a conscious process, so it is easy to avoid the
emotional abreaction that results from in-person Tribal TTP.
So
the e-receivers might not really be facilitating Fred to communicate
experience with CM as much as they are facilitating (enabling) all the CM's
to develop a co-dependent network, the content of which is
"trying" to get better.
As
such, the sender, rather than experiencing his co-dependency, is acting it
out by enrolling the receivers in it.
The
receivers might consider encouraging the sender to find or create an actual
Tribe in his area so he can cut the analytics and get down to the real work.

Oxycontin
®
A
lot of the effect
is
in how you use it.
Oxycodone, like
morphine is a Schedule II analgesic. You can use it as time-release tablets
to control pain - or you can ab-use it by crushing and sniffing it or
dissolving and injecting it for a co-dependent high.
Clip and
Information:
www.prescription-drug-rehab.com/
oxycodone.html |
|
Thu, 27 Nov 2003
Pain in Brain
Can you explain how the brain, which contains no pain receptors at all,
produces painful sensations in the body when a negative stimulus produces a
negative
emotion ?
|
You
might take your "negative" emotions into TTP, to experience them
and to find their positive intentions.

The
Brain
Useful
for explaining things,
except
perhaps,
how
the brain works.
http://www.upl.cs.wisc.edu/~dac/
|
|
Thu, 27 Nov 2003
Thanks
Dear Ed,
Today on Thanksgiving day, both the Manhattan tribes would like to express
our deepest gratitude to you for allowing us to use your methods and all for
free.
This is one time where 'you get what you pay for' is NOT true ! Your methods
(TTP, Dream, Goals and Hardball) have made significant difference in all of
our lives.
Through your work you have fostered a great sense of community and
friendship between members and among the various tribes around the world.
Thanks for opening a window into your mind.
All the best
|
You
are welcome. The more you share, the more you seem to get.

To
Freshen a Room
Open
a window
works
for minds, too,
and
for hearts.
http://capeverde-islands.com/window.gif
|
|
Thu, 27 Nov 2003
Criticism
You might check your feelings about criticism.
I feel unease about it. In my upbringing I was demanded perfection (from
imperfect people) to receive a piece of praise or support. That's the
source, in great part, of my drive for perfection.
However, as an adult, this drama bothers me for being rather unable to cope
in a healthy way with criticism or envy. I have also engaged into
relationship dramas where I find myself miserably begging for approval,
attention and love.
Psychotherapy aside, I am already tracking underlying feelings. Thanks.
P.S.: I have already scheduled our first virtual real time meeting for
our group, as we experiment with closeness and cooperation within our group
and hopefully encourage the experience of community where we live.
|
You
seem to like to analyze your situation and find "causes."
You
also seem reluctant to use TTP in a direct face-to-face setting.
You
might, then, proceed with TTP by consciously continuing to postpone up-close
relating of your fear of up-close relating.

Intimacy
Sometimes
means
sharing
the feeling
of
wanting to share the feeling
http://www.kathysarns.com/
images/intimacy.jpg |
|
Thu, 27 Nov 2003
Wax On - Wax Off
Your website makes me think of ‘The Karate Kid’ and the old man’s wise
instructions through unexpected methods.
In the spirit of sharing I thought I would share a simple system for the FX
markets.
1) Mechanism uses hourly charts.
2) Enter position on 90 hour breakouts (closing basis).
3) Stops rise with 70 hour movement (trailing stops).
4) Do not follow the 90 hour bearish breakout if the 30 hour EMA
(exponential moving average) is above the 200 hour EMA and the 240 hour EMA
is above the 280 hour EMA. The trend is against such breakouts and they are
normally false. Bearish signals use the reverse MA position.
5) The system is simple but it has a 35 pip positive expectation per
contract after trading costs.
6) Gearing depends on the ‘heat’ you are willing to take.
7) I trade using 9 different crosses, most of them on the US dollar.
8) The portfolio high-water mark drawdown measured on a realized position
basis (rather than mark to market valuations) is in the order of 1% of the
portfolio per contract.
Thanks for your effort in sharing your principles. Principles correctly
applied will always lead to a solution.
Regards,
PS: Point 3) above
should be 90 instead of 70.
|
FAQ
does not endorse traders or commercial products, or offer
instrument-specific trading advice, or recommend specific trading system
parameters. See Ground Rules.
In
general, short-term trading systems succumb to transaction costs and
execution friction.
You
might simulate your system over historical data and notice how sensitive it
is to assumptions about where you get your fills.

Skid
Effects Performance
Clip:
http://www.highwaycode.gov.uk/
sign102.shtml |
|
Wed, 26 Nov 2003
From Intention
... to ... Result
Hello Ed
"Intention = Results"
You've made the above statement many times. I find it extremely powerful. My
question to you is:
Can you please expound on this theory of experience? Can you touch on the
evolution of experience from intention-to-result.
Sincerely,
... and oh yes,
happy thanks giving and happy holidays.
|
Take
responsibility for your experience and you can see that intentions =
results.
Deny
responsibility for your experience and a delta between intentions and
results may appear.

The
San Joaquin Delta
becomes
more apparent
as
you get the further away
from
the flow.
Clip:
http://www.regis.berkeley.edu/grasslinks/ |
|
Wed, 26 Nov 2003
Hi
Hi Chief !
Have a great Thanksgiving Holiday!
|
Thank
you. Same to you and yours.
|
|
Wed, 26 Nov 2003
Happy
Thanksgiving
Yoda,
I hope you and your family have a wonderful Thanksgiving!
Respectfully yours,
|
Thank
You. Same to you and yours.

Yoda
Sez:
Thanksgiving,
an
activity of respect,
acknowledgment
and communion,
is.
|
|
Tue, 25 Nov 2003
Does Fred
Always Know
What He is
Doing?
Do I understand correctly? Is the idea to please Fred? Fred is
communicating experience. Fred's intention is to be helpful. Therefore I
should listen to Fred. Do what Fred wants me to do.
A climax top confuses and puzzles me. I have mixed feelings.
I buy a stock. Stock price advances month after month. Price advances very
fast. I feel everyone in the world wants to buy the stock and I am the only
one who wants to sell. Great time to sell, profit is big. I sell.
I have mixed feelings. Calm feelings. Relaxed. Feeling I am breathing
deeply. Feeling of distance from the action. Feeling release. The tension in
my back is disappearing and I can sit back and sleep. But also feel worried
or puzzled. What if the price continues to rise? Feel restless. Feel like
I am sitting on an anthill and the ants are in my clothes biting me. Want to
own the stock.
Sometimes I do not sell. I follow the trend. The price makes a big advance.
Price reacts. Trend changes. I exit. Missed the big profit. Followed the
trend and the profit slipped through my fingers. Feel cold and dirty.
Feel like I'm all wet from being out in the cold rain.
The uncertainty makes me feel jittery and nervous. No matter what I do I
feel bad. I worry if I exit and I worry if I hold.
Does Fred always know what he wants?
|
Fred
wants only one thing: namely, to communicate experience to your Conscious
Mind (CM).
When
you receive Fred, and experience your feelings, you may get an AHA, and know
what you want to do and how to do it.
You
can take your feelings - about biting ants and being in the cold - into TTP
for resolution and insight.
Otherwise,
Fred may continue to get you to worry your positions in order to
experiencing these feelings.
If
you are willing to experience these feelings in the now, as the market
moves, and use them as part of your emotional control panel, you may be able
to sense and exit near the top.

Exiting
at the Moment of Climax
requires
experience
and
some degree of discipline.
Clip:
www.s-trip.de/dc/html/stadtinfo/
clubs/climax/climax.htm
|
|
Tue, 25 Nov 2003
Offering
$750,000.00
Hello Mr. Seykota,
I happen to read about you in The Market Wizards, I am taking on your advice
to find the best trader to trade for me.
I can invest
from $500,000 to $1,000,000 with a commitment of at least 10 years. I am
looking for some one with a history of making at least 20% return compound
annually. Please give directions and recommendations.
Something about me:
I am Vietmanese-American, married, have two boys, 17 and 15 years old. I
came to this country in 1975, currently a real estate broker in Orange
county, California. I make my money during the last 4 years by investing in
real estate, mostly as one lot developer.
I consider myself
a lucky guy happen to be in the right market. I am thinking real estate
market in Orange county is about to top out so I want to find something to
invest my money. I has been trading stock market for about five years, so
far I has been in the positive about $200,000.00 mostly by luck and seem
like I take a lot of risk.
The thing is this,
I do not believe in luck. I want to be a good investor, I do not believe in
following the crowd.
Still I am
trying to figure out who I am as a trader.
I seem to like the
way James Rogers Jr. approach to investing. Your trading style of
"Moment" in the "Now" seem like the best for "The
Best". Any way I am lucky to find you (another lucky chance). Thank you
in advance for your help I enjoy for "FAQ" a lot and very impress
with your illustrative answers.
P.S. I have a question "How to help the helpless?"
Thanks again.
|
FAQ
does not FAQ does not endorse traders or commercial products.
See Ground Rules.
Compound
rate of return is only one of several properties of traders.
Volatility and consistency are others.
You
might consider taking your feelings about "good" trading - and
your feelings about "helpless" into TTP. You might find out
more about who you are and who you are looking for.

Wise
Old Owl
Pondering
Who
Note
to Traders
There
is plenty of money out there
awaiting
good management.
Clip: http://www.onceuponatoon.com/
programs.html
|
|
Mon, 24 Nov 2003
Ugly, Boring
and Stupid
Ed,
1. I do not know what is my problem. I lose consistently in the markets.
What should I do ?
2. I have a mechanical long-term trend-following system. I tested it and it
works according to historical results.
3. I cannot stick to my winning system. I do not know why it is so
difficult.
4. I feel I could do better trading discretionary. Maybe I am dead wrong.
5. As I started to write these letter I wanted to finish here but the
following thoughts and feelings came to my mind:
I hate trend-following!! I hate long term trading !! I despise mechanical
trading !! I feel it is UGLY, BORING and STUPID ! I feel I want to make
quick buck in a sexy way NOW !! I feel humiliated when I follow trends !!
When I write this I feel energy and warm in the chest and aggression. I want
to hit somebody hard !!
Best Regards
|
FAQ
does not tell people what to do. See ground rules. You are
likely working out some or another drama.
IF
you take your feelings into TTP, you may be able to resolve them towards an
AHA.

Experiencing
the Feeling
of
Wanting to Hit
may
discharge the need to do so
into
an AHA.
Clip: http://www.escja.com/images/boxing.gif
|
|
Mon, 24 Nov 2003
Toronto Trading
Tribe Workshop
Report from the
Leadership
Hi Ed,
We had a one day workshop for our experienced tribe members on Saturday. The
TTP Skills exercise (pass/no pass) had been introduced in our previous
evening meeting so we spent Saturday working on our Snapshots, the Hardball
Process and Making a Commitment.
We spent several hours on the Snapshot and it was a powerful and emotional
experience. Hardball lived up to its name for me as it was very hard and I
was exhausted afterwards. We have a great group of people who
courageously dove right to work and produced a quality experience for
everyone involved.
While our bi-weekly meetings will continue, we will also be getting together
again in four months for a follow-up meeting to check-in on how everyone is
doing with their commitments.
Sharing the knowledge from Reno with the group and witnessing the results
is a very good learning experience for me. I find this work very rewarding
and it is certainly helping to stir things up in all areas of my life.
All the best,
|
Yes.
|
|
Mon, 24 Nov 2003
Misuse of Your Name
Possible misuse of your name.
http://www.tradestars.com/
content/Ed-Seykota.asp |
Thank
you for the advice. I wonder how this is working for them.
|
|
Mon, 24 Nov 2003
Copy of
Inter-Tribe Memo
Toronto
Workshop
Dear [Presenters],
Thank you very very much for hosting the one day tribe workshop. It was
amazing. Something big has shifted for me. I feel like the parking brake has
been released and I am freer to move forward without the drag of having the
brake on.
Snap shot and hardball combined are a very powerful technology. The
visual and visceral experience during hardball were unbelievable. I have
tried allot of different things but the experience of this process is
totally unique and extremely potent. I know it's still early so I will
patiently observe the results in the NOW.
Thanks again from the bottom of my heart, |
Yes.
|
|
Sun, 23 Nov 2003
Catholicism and Mysticism
Ed,
I would like you to know that I have also been applying the TTP principles
to long time issues about mysticism.
I could never find
a balance between following my religion (Catholicism) and the knowledge of
the Western Esotericism (Qabala, Astrology and Alchemy).
In our current
time both are still in conflict although to a lesser degree than in former
times. TTP feels, at least for me, like the missing link between them.
Strong conflicts and opposition arise from judgments on both sides. So, I am
exploring with grumpy judge feelings of guilt about getting in contact with
mysticism.
|
OK.

Catholicism

Mysticism

The
Missing Link
might
have something to do
with
the heart.
Clips:
http://www.crosswinds.net/
~mytapestry/images/3_eye.jpg
http://www.stjosephhom.org/toc.html
http://www.griefwarehouse.org/
Images/Missing%20Link.jpg
|
|
Sun, 23 Nov 2003
Helping Others
I would like to let you know that I am currently experiencing with my
feelings about commitment to integration into a community (in work, family,
groups and relationships), as well as about sharing and cooperation.
Actually, I am
kind of following the opposite path: rather than focusing on achieving my
current goal, how do I feel about helping other people achieving their
goals?
Or, how do I feel
about sharing what I know and using my resources to help other people
achieve their dreams (I do have an issue here).
As always, I track the bodily sensations. Usually strong contractions or
jolts in the abdomen. Pressure from inside out all over the body and head.
Great stress and tension.
|
Yes.
In turning outward, toward others, you may find what's inside
yourself.

Lost
In Service to Others
we
find the best in ourselves.
Clip: http://www.art-community.com/
member/vanish/fireman.jpg
|
|
Sun, 23 Nov 2003
Intention -
Being Yourself
Ed's ultimate intention for The Trading Tribe and for
TTP is for people to experience it, and for it to disappear and become just
another passing AHA.
Yes! Ed, I must confess one concern I have always had when applying to start
a tribe is the potential influence of your fame on tribe followers. I mean,
given your fame as a 'Market Wizard', and I do think you truly are one,
people might be inclined to get to know TTP to investigate about your way of
doing things, rather than celebrating their way of doing things.
I myself, since I
got to know about you and Soros, I took you both as great models, as well as
Michael Marcus. Gradually, as I evolved as a trader and got to know myself
better, I acknowledged the day I could follow my system signals faithfully,
with no concern about Ed, Soros or Marcus, than I would know I had become a
trader.
You, in a certain
way, helped to achieve this goal. The TT community has taught me, from heart
to heart, that the best person and trader I can be, I already am. And it's
my choice to accept this truth or not.
|
Yes.
|
|