|
August
20-31, 2003
|
Questions
(Quotes
from Ed in Red)
|
Answers
|
Sat, 30 Aug 2003
Ed:
As the experience of managing a tribe has been positive, I would like to
encourage other traders from South America, who might have problems to set
up a physical intentional community, to make contact with me. So you might
add "Traders from South America may also consult this contact", or
something like that, just below my contact information for Palotina Brazil.
Best regards, |
OK. |
|
Sun, 31 Aug 2003
Now
Dear Mr. Seykota,
I was reading Dale Carnegie's "How to Stop Worrying and Start
Living", and in the first chapter he mentions the importance of
"now." He uses the example of "Give us this day our daily
bread", that the prayer Jesus taught us was to ask only for --- today's
--- bread, the beauty of living today fully and not being anxious for
tomorrow.
Immediately I remember your quote that we are all a "now"
person, in the "now" moment, now and forever. I have such a rush
and just go online right away and want to share it. Now let me get back to
the book ...
ciao, |
OK. |
|
Sat, 30 Aug 2003
FAQ correction
Hi Ed,
I sent in a check for the remaining balance for the October workshop. Also,
the date on the most recent FAQ says August 17-31; however, the FAQ posts
begin on August 20, which overlaps the previous FAQ which ends on August 20.
Thanks, |
Thank
you for the correction. |
|
Sat, 30 Aug 2003
Trading Tribe
in Vancouver, B.C.
Good Afternoon Ed.
I live in Bellingham, WA. I am interested in joining a tribe in the
Vancouver, BC-Bellingham, WA area. I am aware that there is not currently
any Trading Tribe groups in the Bellingham, WA or Vancouver, BC area. I am
an individual who is willing to be a charter member of a chapter in the
Vancouver, BC area.
Please post this message on FAQ. If you are willing, you may also pass my
contact information on to the FAQ poster from Vancouver, BC who wrote
"Trading Tribe in Vancouver, B.C." on August 20th.
Thanks, Ed.
Sincerely,
P.S. I have had some amazing changes in my life over the last several
months. I expect that the changes are a direct result of principles I learn
from reading your website. I appreciate your generosity in providing this
forum and your willingness to share your insights.
|
OK. |
|
Sat, 30 Aug 2003
FAQ Error
Hello Ed,
Thank you for the reply titled Jealousy from 25 Aug. You left my name on the
email when you posted it to FAQ. Please remove it from the post. |
Done.
Thank you for catching the error.

Skillful
Receiving
Can
be Transformative
http://brujosdoblea.com/
images/catcher.gif |
|
Fri, 29 Aug 2003
Drawdowns and
Losses
Hello Ed,
I have a question, concerning drawdowns and losses. I apparently do not
understand the differences between the two!
How can one endure a drawdown of a given magnitude, and at the same time
"employ" a cutting your losses strategy, the two ideas / concepts
seem contradictory to me, therefore I must not understand the distinction
between the two concepts! Can someone enlighten me?
Love your site, and am very grateful for your it, Thanks so much!!
|
You
cut losses on individual trades.
The
reduction in value of your total equity, from a previous high point, is your
drawdown.
If
you find yourself enduring drawdowns, you might take the feeling of having
to endure into TTP.
|
|
Fri, 29 Aug 2003
Attending
Workshop
Hello, I recently passed my series 3 brokerage exam. I was pursuing
employment as a broker to learn the ropes. But the more I learned the
more I didn't like what I saw.
I have many people
waiting to drop money on me to invest. For now I have them in a holding
pattern. I would like to learn and train to start my own hedge fund. I am in
my infancy but I'm willing to do what it takes to learn and be successful at
it. I have a vast pool of clients from athletes, entertainers, club
owners, small business owners, and everyday people wanting me to do
something with their money.
Instead of me
opening accounts for them with other firms and letting the reap the profits
of my clients. I desperately seek the knowledge to do this myself.
I used to be a
rapper in the music industry (Tag Team / Whoomp There It Is!) and still have
all the ties because I DJ in the hottest nightclubs in Atlanta.
Can you please
steer me in the right direction. Whatever sites I can go to, reading
material, trading seminars, anything you can recommend would be greatly
appreciated. I definitely would like to attend your workshop. I am 100%
dedicated to achieving this goal. I graciously ask for your help.
|
Instructions
for attending the Workshop appear on the Workshop page.
FAQ
does not endorse commercial products.
You
might find lots of free basic information about trading at www.turtletrader.com.
|
|
Thu, 28 Aug 2003
Workshop
Dear Ed:
I would very much like to attend your workshop October 24--26 at Reno/Lake
Tahoe. I sent you an email the other day and thought I would wait for you
to reply before committing. However, I'm concerned the workshop might fill
up. So please, reserve me a spot.
I am printing and signing the workshop page and sending you $1000 as you
request. I very much look forward to meeting you and the fellow attendees.
Sincerely,
|
OK.
At this time, the Workshop still has room.
|
|
Thu, 28 Aug 2003
Starting a
Community
Dear Ed,
I would like to start an Intentional Community. I feel I could gain a lot of
insight and understanding about myself using TT.
I live in Cumbria in the UK (a long way from London). I don't know of any
traders locally apart from a friend, who have asked to look at your site and
let me know if he is interested.
A truly enlightening site.
yours sincerely,
|

Welcome
Cumbria,
UK!
You
are on the directory page.
|
|
Thu, 28 Aug 2003
Satellite View
of the Blackout
I thought this was
interesting and hope you will as well.

|
Thank
you. |
|
Thu, 28 Aug 2003
I Don't Get It
How come you trade daily bars and how come you use Donchian's stuff? Don't
you know better?
About 4 years ago
- when I started trading the concept of trend following helped a lot but to
TF with daily bars is NOT the best solution.
You have to
find out which markets vibrate on a daily basis and which base on an
intra-week basis.
I don't day trade.
I follow as many as 18 trends a year in 4 dif markets. One of them I trade
with pure swing methods. Either you don't know or you are no big deal
despite the advertising and press coverage. Hey! I could care less. I find
your site an exercise in mirroring (read Lacan to find out).
Me thinks you are quite vain and arrogant.
Study the enclosures and progress man. You're still in the pre-history of
psychotherapy man - Fredian s---!
ah ah ah Tried some Gestalt man?
|
You
might consider taking some of your anger into TTP and allowing it to convert
to good vibrations.

Staying
in Touch with the Markets
with
Daily Vibration
ask
about our slip-on attachments
for
CBOT, NYSE and NASDAQ.
|
|
Thu, 28 Aug 2003
E-community
Ed:
In our tribe we have been practicing the TTP by e-mail, as we live far apart
from each other. Basically we use SVO-p in our sessions and verbal mirroring
and pacing. Below is an example with a fellow member, where I am receiving.
As the experience has been positive, I would like to encourage other traders
from South America, who might have problems to set up a physical intentional
community, to make contact with me. So you might add "Traders from
South America may also consult this contact", or something like that,
just below my contact information.
Best regards,
----- some interchange, below ----
Very well!!!
-----
Exactly. My Ego is an obstacle to follow the trend and being disciplined. My
Ego wants to be right not wrong. In the flow there are not right or wrongs
...there is only flow...
I feel better now.
-----
OK. I think I get it. When I have to take a loss it hurts my ego and it
makes me feel depressed.
-----
I feel depress in
this situations specially if I have to take a loss. I recognize my Ego
working here. Taking a loss hurts my Ego.
It is different with the e-banking sistem. No humans, I am alone with my
ego, nobody cares what I am doing ... is much easier...
-----
OK. I think I get
it. I don't like to speak with my brokers and listen to them, and so I have
problems calling them to place my orders.
-----
OK lets go!
-----
I don't like to phone to my brokers. Generally i don't like to speak with
them and I don't use their opinion. But they are necessary to execute the
trades! . But generally I have problems to pick up the phone and give them
the order. The whole action of executing the system seems in those moments
like a big and heavy stone to lift. My feeling is like not having energy to
phone. Just opening the address book to find the phone number is a big work
to do. Instead of this when I use another brokerage account which is
e-trading (no humans ) I execute the stops loss very fluently...
|
OK
|
|
Wed, 27 Aug 2003
Blindfold
Trading
Dear Ed,
I only recently started trading a newly developed system when I went onto a
long and hard-earned vacation. It has been suggested time and again, that
you should allow for your holidays to be a time away from the markets. Since
I am trading a completely mechanical approach, for which I need less than 10
minutes a day to evaluate a few numbers and place an order, I decided to blindfold-trade
during my holidays. That means I would follow my system without giving
attention to the markets or evaluating my performance. Of course my system
got built-in risk and money management, so I know I will always stay on the
safe side.
Now, I am finally back home and I am more than pleased with my results.
Actually I didn't make too much money during this time, but the statistical
properties of my system are slowly converging to their back-tested values.
To me, this is much more important at the moment - proving the validity of
my system. If my system proves valid, its money-making aspect will take care
of itself later.
I can wholeheartedly recommend this experience to anybody with a suitable
trading approach. It's not only about not losing time during your holidays, but
also about giving you confidence that it doesn't make a difference idly
watching them quotes or relaxing in the sun.
Thank you for freely sharing your trading experience with us
|
OK.

Essential
Trading Gear
for
the fashion conscious
Ninja
Trader
Clip: http://www.in-focus.org/
in%20focus%20site/
dossier%20images/blindfold.png
|
|
Wed, 27 Aug 2003
Math
Hi,
I'm just wondering how much science, mathematics, calculus and statistics
background is necessary in order to
understand some of the dialogue that I read in regard to trading.
It seems to me
after having read the section on risk management, that one definitely needs
a stronger background in these and other subjects than I have.
Maybe I should
break out the books huh?
Thanks for your consideration of this e-mail!
|
If
you feel inadequate to the task of understanding the risk article you can
(1) lease some more brain power (2) wear a fancy math hat, or (3) take your
feelings about not understanding things into TTP.

Neuron
Farm for Sale or Lease
Clip: http://www.educause.edu/pub/
er/erm99/images/erm9902_thompson.gif

Fancy
Math Hat
Clip: http://www.fbi.gov/hq/cid/fc/
fifu/intellectual/images/ipcmural.jpg |
|
Wed, 27 Aug 2003
Risk Management
Hello Mr. Seykota!
I have found your essay on risk management most interesting. Is it possible
to get that document mailed to me as a file?
I would be very grateful!
Best regards
|
You
may reprint the article if you credit Ed Seykota's FAQ and include the URL
to the site.
Yes,
I would be willing to mail it to you, anywhere in the Continental USA for,
say $1,000.00 per copy. Let me know how many you want.
|
|
Wed, 27 Aug 2003
Anxiety
Dear Ed:
A few months ago I discovered your web site, found it intriguing, followed
it for a while then quit reading it. My style of trading has been
scalping stocks.
Sometimes I
hold to the end of the day -- I rarely hold overnight.
I was pretty
successful 1998 through 2001 -- made about 600k through that period,
including what my wife made trading my system.
Not bad for a
former stockbroker with three kids, $50K equity, trading out of the spare
bedroom. I used a completely mechanical intraday system, developing a
program to search the stock universe for certain setups.
Rules for
everything. Of course, by mid 2001, the system had stalled out. Tight
disciplined stops ensured that I never lost much (although our lifestyle did
eat into the profits). After breaking even for 2002 (I paid my broker
something like $125K in commissions!) waiting for my system to resume its
profitable ways, I concluded that my system was, for a variety of
reasons, obsolete.
This year I've
tried several intraday approaches with little sustained success. Couldn't
identify an edge. I finally reached the point where I needed to prove I
could consistently turn a profit--any profit. I found that by focusing on
one symbol and using very tight stops I can consistently scalp for small
profits. Small gains. Small losses. Small profits. Lots of
trades/commissions.
Cutting to the chase, I think I have an ulcer. Yeah, I know they're not
supposed to be caused by stress.
Nonetheless, every
time I even think aboutsitting in front of the screen, my stomach churns and
my legs get jumpy. One of my molars recently cracked from clenching my
jaw at night.
I work out
regularly, watch my diet, concentrate on my breathing, yet the adrenaline
inexorably creeps into my day. When I traded my system, I used hard stops
& each trade was essentially meaningless. I knew that over the course of
100 trades I would make money. Now each trade feels important. Yesterday I
made a few hundred bucks staring at the monitor open to close. Felt tired
buy pretty good afterwards. Today I lost a hundred bucks after commissions
running some forty trades. I felt completely spent, emotionally
drained. I'm up like $10K for the year. I might as well have a paper
route.
My wife, after being my trading partner for several years, now has a good
non-trading job, so I don't have so much immediate financial stress anymore.
(Sold our house, paid off all debt.) However, I hate trading now.
When I quit the brokerage business just six years ago, I was so in love with
the idea of independent trading, I had limitless energy for research and
back testing. Now I can't muster much enthusiasm for the trading game. It's
become a detestable job.
So this afternoon I was clicking around and changed a 5 minute chart into a
weekly chart. Stared at it a while. Looked at more weekly charts. There and
then I said to myself, that's it, I can't continue with the tick by tick
trading. My only hope for trading survival is to lengthen my time frame,
get away from the screen. A trend following system of some kind. Build
it from scratch. I'm pulling the plug on the tape reading and day trading
even though it's the only way I've made a living since 1997.
As I was walking upstairs last might, I thought of your site. I remembered
you said something like "all successful traders eventually turn to
trend trading." I logged on and read it all. Good stuff. You seem
to have no conflict of interest-- you seem to genuinely want to help people.
Not sure what I'm asking from you. A pat on the back? A kick in the ass?
Maybe tell me it's time to get a real job. Can a burned-out day trader
successfully convert to trend following. How do I proceed?
A thought or two from you would be great. Thanks.
|
When
you learn to experience the feelings of stress and anxiety directly, you no
longer need to day trade to feel them.

When
Fred Wants You to Feel Anxiety
You
can go direct ... with, say, TTP
or
get there by trading.
Clip: http://www.ericfox.net/
images/anxiety.jpg
|
|
Wed, 27 Aug 2003
Highbrows
The "process" which you describe as "Trading Tribe"
would raise the highbrows of many good psychotherapists including
some of the finest psychoanalysts with several years of doctoral and
post-doctoral experience both in the UK and at your own country.
You need to read quite a bit more to get to the door of the role of
the unconscious as you have attempted (but failed) at describing.
Basically, the most successful approaches to pathological behaviour and
phenomena (see what pathological means in a good specialized encyclopaedia
because it doesn't necessarily mean "sick") involve a mosaic of
theories without giving any a presidential role.
I have shown some of your writing to senior researchers including some of
the brightest doctoral students at my University here in London and they
tell that the information is actually wrong. As I have indicated to you
I'm a doctoral student in the social sciences and my thesis deals with
"trading".
I can quite understand if you don't wish to reply to my previous questions:
- How much do you charge to manage money
- Do you make only 60% a year
- has the book by Schwager helped your business sine you were unknown prior
to its publishing ...
I have interviewed a number of traders in Europe and have seen their
statements. I have a small group of people who make a lot more than you
(60% a month) and who dispute your methodological opinions entirely. In
any case your replies aren't essential to my research.
Kind Regards,
|
TTP
protocol does not include telling people what they need to do.
You
might consider experiencing your feelings of inadequacy, with TTP, rather
than having to act them out.

Doctor
Doggie Highbrow sez:
You're
barking up the wrong tree ...
'cause
I already marked it as mine ...
and
it's growing faster than your tree ...
and
I don't even care, anyway.
Clip: http://www.lilaclane.com/
americaneskimo/alex/intellectual.jpg
|
|
Tue, 26 Aug 2003
Tingling
Hi Ed,
Just started with the [xxx] tribe a while ago and had our second meeting
tonight. Even though I felt like I had some knowledge in this area, still
pretty surprised by results. I was the sender and thought (or at least CM
did)
I had a trading
issue to discuss. Instead of my "issue", out came a story about my
dad!!! Even writing this, I'm experiencing tingling (mostly on the right
side) of my body.
This is kind of
scary, seeing "right out there" what Fred's really thinking ...
thanks Ed, looking
forward to continuing the process.
|
TTP
has a way of moving your attention to the real issues.

I
really like it when
you
talk about naked options.
It
gives me the tingles.
Clip: http://www.seenit.com/
shopping/HB1.gif |
|
Tue, 26 Aug 2003
Trading Tribe
Workshop
Mr. Seykota,
I wish I had discovered your process sooner. But it is never too late. I
still have time and things to learn from someone like you. After a decade
of investing, I have come to realize the importance of trend following and
have become a firm believer.
I was a
proprietary trader on Wall Street and
a portfolio manager at [XYZ] and [XXX].
Currently, I run a
hedge fund in San Francisco. I studied chemical engineering and earned a
graduate management degree (SM) at MIT.
I would like to attend your October workshop. Please let me know so I can
mail in the payment. Thank you.
|
Welcome!
|
Some of
it
+ the
rest of it
-----------------
all of it |
First
Law of Thermodynamics
more
or less
|
|
Tue, 26 Aug 2003
Permission to
reprint?
Mr. Seykota,
I knew you were a famous trader when I read Schwager's book years ago. I
mentioned you in one of my earlier letters as someone worthy of great
respect in the trading world.
But I had no idea
you had done such deep thinking about the psychology of trading -- to the
point where you could so successfully communicate to others the way you do
on the Trading Tribe Process web page. I am no expert, but I think that when
someone can convey something to others in simple and understandable terms,
it means they have a true and profound grasp of the subject.
I have a little newsletter I began to write July 2001.
I would like permission to reprint with attribution of course, some of
the wonderful ideas you have about the psychology of trading.
I write a four
page letter every month ... since I don't get to talk too much about the
details of the proprietary system, I discuss things like getting into a good
mind-set for money management, finding the discipline to save money and
adhere to a system, things like that.
Your understanding of psychology as it relates to these things would be a
wonderful thing to pass on to my subscribers. You're an inspiration to me.
I'd be happy to send you a copy of the market letter if you wish to see it.
Thank you.
|
Yes,
you may reprint an occasional sample from FAQ, such as a line or two, if you
credit Ed Seykota's FAQ and include the URL to the source page.
If
you sell your newsletter as a commercial product, you may have to pay
license fees to reprint internet clips.
I
offer no opinion on this so you might do well to seek advice of counsel.

The
Trading Tribe
|
|
Mon, 25 Aug 2003
Jealousy
Hello Ed.
I got a job in the industry. After a year of self-trading. It is in sales.
I'm OK so far. I didn't tell them about my personal trading until after i
had started. They were impressed and put me on the fast track for my series
3.
I feel jealous when i am with my girlfriend. Anything to do with
others sex or music makes me jealous. I always hated feeling jealous.
I would avoid relationships when i felt jealous. Break up with the girl,
move on. I would stay in relationships when i was not feeling jealous, but i
never cared. What could be the positive intentions of jealousy? It is
a terrible feeling in the pit of my stomach. It makes me angry, cynical. I
love her but i can not stand feeling jealous...
I am debating attending the workshop. I want to go. I need a tribe. I
want to learn about TTP first hand. Since starting trading I have withdrawn
about 10K. I started with 16K. I now have about 25K. It is not all my money,
only about 7K is. I spent money paying off debt. I dropped one client. I
want to let my equity build, but i want to learn too. I have always had a
problem with procrastination.
Thanks for listening Ed.
|
Whatever
feelings you can't stand wind up running your life. Whatever feelings you
like become your allies.
One
result of TTP is conversion of feelings from enemies to friends.
Note:
when you think about joining the Workshop, your unresolved feelings may come
up.

Even
Jealousy
has
Positive Intentions
Ckip: http://www.sullivanet.com/
pirateisland/myart/jealous.jpg |
|
Mon, 25 Aug 2003
October Workshop
Ed,
I will be attending your October Workshop. I have booked my flight and will
be mailing my check today or tomorrow.
|
OK.
|
|
Mon, 25 Aug 2003
I wanna go!
Ed said: Books Work Better when you read them.
I am somewhat a compulsive buyer of books. I buy a lot of books I never read
completely, from beginning to end. I only read the very few ones I consider
to be the best and essential reading, and keep the others for reference.
I keep searching
for the best book, information or knowledge. This need or feeling of
wanting to have the best, perfect book, knowledge or information is so great
that I seem to be in a perpetual, never-ending quest for the Philosophical
Stone.
I look everywhere
and can't find it, but I need, I have to and I want to find it and so I keep
searching voraciously, intensely.
(Continued)
The feeling is greater than me. I feel like being into high gear, into
hyperactivity. I urge to be into high gear, like the frantic rhythm of
trance music. And it's pervasive to many aspects of my life.
|
You
might try taking your frantic feelings into TTP.

Please
oh please help me
I
need the perfect book.
Clip: http://www.conterra.com/
bookter/loni/frantic.jpg
|
|
Sun, 24 Aug 2003
Trend Following
Startup
Mr. Seykota:
After working as a high yield analyst for [XYZ] ('96-'99) and launching my
first startup hedge fund ('00-'02) through the tech bubble peak/crash, I
have learned firsthand the value and opportunity in systematic investing. I
am contacting you regarding a systematic "trend following"
strategy that I have developed and my efforts to raise seed capital for a
startup hedge fund or to bring said strategy in-house to a larger firm.
Early this week, a full PowerPoint presentation including a back test over
11.6 years will be available. Please let me know if you have any interest.
Thank You,
|
Good
luck with your start-up. FAQ does not endorse Traders or Products. See
ground rules.
|
|
Sun, 24 Aug 2003
Report from a
Visitor
to the Incline
Village Trading Tribe
Ed,
... It was nice to meet you and the other tribe members and to so closely
experience the Incline Village version of the Process.
Yes, I did
significant work that night. I am already noticing some changes and there
are more to come in the coming weeks I am sure.
At the end of the
process when my awareness turned more towards the group, I was struck by
the warmth and caring I felt. Pretty amazing since I had only known most of
the members for an hour or two!
Thanks again and
thanks for the invitation. Please know that you are also welcome any
time that you are in [my] area.
All the best,
|
OK.
|
|
Sun, 24 Aug 2003
People of the
Lie
Hi Ed,
Thought you might like this link:
http://www.turtletrader.com/
people-of-the-lie.html
Thanks for the book recommendation.
|
Yes.

Knowing
How to Deal with Evil
can
help you select
good
people into your network.
Clip: http://64.95.118.51/images/opti
/e9/eb/0684848597-resized200.jpg
|
|
Sun, 24 Aug 2003
Finally feeling
it
Dear Ed,
The stock market has been chopping me back and forth for weeks. I am
paying close attention however, and am faring O.K.
I was long a few
issues that broke out, and reduced them immediately as the market
deteriorated. I ended up taking some small profits. I usually like to hold
at least a few weeks for a larger profits. As you can see, the long
positions I have taken seem to breakout and fall right back down with good
volume. I have not been able to hold long positions with any confidence
recently. I am finding myself weighted towards the short side again. The
healthcare providers are in my focus.
Shorting is
becoming more frequent and comfortable for me lately. These are my latest
positions below. The charts of the healthcare providers that I shorted
below look like they may have some good profit potential again. I e-mailed
you how I shorted them a few weeks ago. I now have reestablished some of
those short positions. They are beginning to fall from the first base
established after the first drop from the all time highs for this group of
securities.
It is really nice to see the news talking about a rebound in the job market
and stocks and the economy getting better while I can think independently
and short stocks that should go up according to the news. It is obvious they
are on a downtrend! If these stocks take a significant fall some investors
will know the reasons why too late.
If these fall even a few points I will have broken a monetary range that
I have been stuck in for a few weeks.
It is really nice now knowing that all I have to do is go along with the
market and cut the losses quickly. I can always reestablish my positions. I
just need to latch on to a sustained move in a trading vehicle and the
little losses will be taken care of. I feel I am flowing with the market
now! I worthy of good trades and deserve to make significant money
trading (Re E-mail Tuesday August 19 2003 Titles "Cutting losses and
feeling foolish").
I have worked
hard enough for years at trading / investing to deserve the rewards.
Thank You
|
If
you are relying on confidence as a trading tool, you might be risking
jumping your system.

Hard
Work does not Guarantee Profit
and
one man's hard work
might
be another man's recreation
Clip: http://harkin.senate.gov/images/
bio/work-day-construction.gif
|
|
Date: Sat, 23 Aug
2003
Tribe essay
Dear Mr Seykota,
Attached is my resume and a brief essay of my understanding the tribe
process.
Thank you in advance for your consideration,
Sincerely,
-----
Everything in life moves in cycle and everything is in life in one
way or another is trading , but almost nothing in life and nature cycle on
there own.
Birds cycle to different areas together, they are stronger together
and can help guide each other.
Waves are collective drops of water that together can be powerful force, one
drop on its own can create so much force but millions of them in one
collective harmonic movement create incredible force, incredible power.
Even some of the oldest and strongest predators move together, nothing in
the world can survive on its own, even in this day and age when you can be
in constant contact with fellow traders, fellow doctors and any other
profession, working in isolation will often not work, the information is
there yes, however application of that information often involve emotions
and is no different today than thousand of years ago; the more advance we
get the more we don't change as human beings we are still emotional and
still need each other to overcome problems, grow and prosper together,
it is the life experience and the assurance from each other that make us
grow, gives us confidence and inspire us to move on.
I would be happy to be in such a group and this is precisely why I am
writing this letter,
Thanks again,
|
If
you wish to join or start an Intentional Community, see the Tribe Directory
page.

A
View of the H20 Collective
Clip: http://www.washington.edu/
computing/windows/issue18/graphics/
rain.gif
|
|
Fri, 22 Aug 2003
Freud & Ed
agree on wish fulfillment
"Everyone
has wishes that he would prefer not to disclose to other people, and wishes
that he will not admit even to himself." -Sigmund Freud
"Everyone gets what they want out of the
markets." -Ed Seykota
Taken together, these two quotes have very interesting implications on the
behavior of market participants, i.e. everyone gets what they want and those
of us who lose typically do not dare venture into the abyss of our minds to
check whether we might wish loss upon ourselves. (Monetary Masochists)
If we equate money with value or worth, and we tend to feel that we
ourselves have little value or worth, then we will either consciously or
subconsciously make attempts to eliminate our wealth, and to bring our
internal view of self into the external world as a dramatization, realizing
our objectives thereby and subsequently validating Ed's and Freud's theories
of wish fulfillment.
Indeed, I have observed these behaviors in my own actions throughout the
course of my life. In general, during periods of intense self-depreciation, I
have tended to sabotage my own efforts so as to bring about failure. I would
even look down upon myself for looking down upon myself.
I have taken these feelings of low self-worth to the process, and I am on
the road to recovery from self-sabotage.
In addition, I
have recently considered another issue that I had not originally accepted as
plausible. After investigating my childhood, I now consider it a possibility
that parents, friends, relatives and teachers may have even fostered my
self-depreciating tendencies beginning at a very early age.
Whether this was
consciously intentional does not appear to be a useful point upon which to
speculate.
Being that you recommend Toxic Parents I thought you might share some
thoughts on this topic. |
Experience
your feelings and they tend to disappear. Repress them and they tend to run
your life.

Elmer
"Sigmund" Fudd
takes
his childhood bunny into TTP
and,
presto, it disappears.
Now
where did that pesky wabbit go?
Clip: http://www.qsl.net/fudd/fudd2.gif
|
|
Fri, 22 Aug 2003
Choices
Ed Said: You might notice you can control risk by stop
placement and position sizing.
Yes. And not least important by portfolio selection. I have a tendency to
shrug off markets which I consider to be too "slow" or boring, and
long for the wild action. Indeed, sometimes I do succeed in getting it. |
Inability
to tolerate boredom can lead to jumping your system. You can take the
feeling of boredom into TTP to find out more.

Ho
Hum ...
Now
I wonder what I can do to make things a little more exciting around here?
Clip: http://www.outofbodies.com/
sketchbook/bored.gif |
|
Fri, 22 Aug 2003
Believe
Do you believe that your trading system surely makes money in long
period
(for example, 10 years and 20 years)?
I can't believe that my trading system surely makes money in long period. I
only think that it is profitable.
|
A
Trend Trading system guides a process. It does not predict profit or
generate assurances.

Standard
Guarantee, from
Ed's
Stock Exchange
If
you don't like a trade, even after a few weeks go by, simply bring it back
and get a full refund.
Clip: http://pandecta.com/guarantee.gif |
|
Thu, 21 Aug 2003
Necessity as a
Trading Metaphor
I use Necessity (me) and the weird sisters (computer system), her daughters,
as a trading metaphor.
Mythology is abundant in scenarios in dealing with markets.
I love your site.
|
Thank
you. |
|
Thu, 21 Aug 2003
Trading Tribe
Workshop - MIT alum
Mr. Seykota,
I wish I had discovered your process sooner. But it is never too late. I
still have time and things to learn from someone like you. After a decade of
investing, I have come to realize the importance of trend following and
have become a firm believer. I was a proprietary trader on Wall Street
and a portfolio manager. I run a hedge fund in San Francisco. I studied
chemical engineering and earned a graduate management degree (SM) at MIT.
I would like to attend your October workshop. Please let me know so I can
mail in the payment. Thank you. |
Instructions
for attending the Workshop appear on the Workshop Page (see above). |
|
Thu, 21 Aug 2003
New Emotions
and Labels
Ed,
I made my first successful trend following trade today after struggling more
than six months unsuccessfully day trading the forex market ...
How do you deal with new emotions called: joy, excitement, exhilaration
and happiness? The same as fear and greed?
Kind regards |
If
you are having trouble passing feelings, even excitement and joy, you can
take them into TTP.
Exhilaration,
fear, greed, etc. are generic labels ... for feelings that people seem to
experience in very different ways.
With
TTP, you can experience the specific properties of your feelings (size,
color, texture, temperature, pressure, etc.) rather than just apply a label
to the ensemble.

Labels
are Great for Shipping
and
not so good
as
a substitute
for
fully experiencing the contents.
Clip: http://www.intel.com/support/
processors/sspec/label.gif |
|
Thu, 21 Aug 2003
Goal Setting
and Visualization
Hi Ed,
In your Market Wizards interview you said 'One of the
best ways to increase profits is to do goal setting and visualizations in
order to align the conscious and subconscious with making profits'.
Would you care to elaborate on the technique used?
In our group we think it is a good idea to incorporate visualization in our
pre-TTP relaxation routine. So I asked everyone in the group to come up with
their individual goals. From what I understand emotion is a key component of
effective goal setting. We are excited about our goals and are able to see,
feel, smell, taste and hear the end results.
For example my goal is a house by the beach in Northern California. I am
able to see the glistening blue water from the rocky shoreline, hear the
crashing waves and the seagulls flying above, smell the salty air, feel the
sand beneath my feet and taste success.
What do you think Ed, are we doing it right? If you could kindly refer us to
any book or material it is greatly appreciated.
Whatever you think you can do, begin it. Boldness has
Genius, power and magic in it. -- Goethe. |
You
can find many books and articles on Goal Setting and Visualizations.
You
might notice your goals are a bit ambiguous ...
You
say: Goal = House. That might mean you want to own the house, rent the
house, live in the house, build the house, paint the house, continue to have
really good tasting thoughts about the house.
You
might take the "taste" of success into TTP and track it towards
some clarity about what you really want.

Engaging
Your Senses
in
a house by the beach.
Clip: http://www.travelbuddiesworld
wide.com/images/Out-House.gif |
|
Thu, 21 Aug 2003
I Will Be Back
Hi Ed,
I hope all is going very well with you and the Tribe. I just got back from
France, where I got married in Normandy. It was as beautiful as one could
imagine with the only exception being the heat was a little much.
I’m making every effort to get right back into the swing of things
and schedule time to make it to the Tribe every other week.
I will let you know as soon as I can actually make it back, but I’m
shooting for the end of October. (I believe on October 30th)
Please give my best to everyone at Tribe and let them know that I will
indeed be back as soon as I can.
Thanks Ed, and I certainly appreciate you taking the time to talk with me
after my market thrashing last month. Thanks!
|
Congratulations
on your marriage.
Your
note seems to convey the same degree of commitment as (1) your intermittent
attendance record and (2) your intermittent ability to stick with your risk
control.
Intention
equals results, effort does not equal performance and soon is somewhere in
the non-existing future.
The
members of the Incline Village Trading Tribe rely upon each other for steady
attendance and for full participation.
I
suggest you write a letter to your new wife, describing your view of what
your marriage vows mean ... before you apply for re-admission to the Incline
Village Trading Tribe.

The
Prodigal Son Returns Home
and
receives a welcome.
He
still has to re-apply, however,
to
the Trading Tribe.
Clip:
http://www.persianwo.org/35.jpg |
|
Thu, 21 Aug 2003
Wizards
Mr. Seykota:
Can you confirm the following please?
1. Your average annual return is 60%?
2. Your account is sized USD-100M?
3. You charge more than 10% commission every year?
4. Have you or have you not benefited from having been included in
Schwager's book?
Also, what exactly is your formal training in psychotherapy, psychology or
social work?
Please be as extensive as possible.
I am a PhD candidate at U. of London, in Social Sciences. My Thesis is:
"Trading the markets: a paradigm of the 20th century?"
|
I
do not hold myself out to the public as a money manager or solicit
accounts. I do not offer or promote any funds for sale. I do not
endorse products. I do not discuss my own trading results or track
record on FAQ.
My
formal training in TTP is zero ... as I am its inventor. My in-formal
training comes from working with the process, sometimes as leader and
sometimes as a participant ... and from reviewing the emails to FAQ.
If
you consider trading to be the paradigm of the 20-th century, I wonder what
you consider the paradigms for the 19-th and 21-st.

Given
a stack of N dimes,
how
many different
pair-of-dimes
can
you make?
Clip: http://www.ofpp.org/pages/
financial.htm |
|
Thu, 21 Aug 2003
A Short
Paranoia
I haven’t seen this mentioned in the FAQ. It is not in the class of
frequently asked questions but in the class of frequently experienced non
fills.
I assert that short positions are more risky than long positions.
Short positions depend on how many shares are available to borrow. When
plungers load up with shares there are no shares available to short; however
when there are shares available to short, the short positions seem to have a
higher probability to whipsaw. I did not see this mentioned in the risk
management, and was thinking that is would be worthy of a comment or not.
I enjoy the tribe website — fun and informative! |
In
general, over the life of a winning trade, long positions increase in
volatility while short positions decrease in volatility.
So,
for equal price moves, the long trade has a higher signal-to-noise ratio at
inception.
Risk
has to do with many factors, including how compatible you are with your
system.

Computing
Risk
can
be dicey.
Clip: http://www.zurichkemper.com/
planning/risk.asp |
|
Thu, 21 Aug 2003
Going With The
Flow
Ed Said: You might find some joy in the process of
allowing feelings and markets to come and go as you experience them.
Yes. When I started participating in the Trading Tribe community I
already had an understanding that the outer world is usually a reflection of
the inner world. Then, instead of working with trading issues, I went
the other way around and worked primarily with dramas in the context of my
relationship with myself, other people and life.
In the Process I have learned to re-frame feelings as friends and it
feels really good.
Unfortunately I
also found that I have some history of emotional invalidation and that I've
been carrying out this drama into my life. So, when comes to going with the
flow of my true feelings, I feel like a baby making his first timid,
hesitant steps to discover a whole new life.
I also feel that Ed, just as Fred, is a great friend. Thank you for you
support. |
Yes.
Re-framing feelings as friends is a big step.

When
You Can Experience
Your
Baby Shoes
You
leave them behind.
Clip:
http://www.infanttoddlerconsortium.org/
work/bsteps.html
|
|
Wed, 20 Aug 2003
Rewarding
Myself
Dear Ed,
Regarding my e-mail to you entitled "Cutting Losses and Feeling
Foolish." on Tuesday August 19, 2003.
You are right about the self worth. I always had an inferiority complex when
I was a kid. It sometimes comes back to haunt me ... I think you might have
hit home on something! I feel an "AHA" may be on the way. I need
time to think about this in more detail. I feel one coming but not here
yet ... like some positive excitement or pressure building. Could this be
true? Thanks again.
I decided to reward myself with a possible nice trade in xxx today.
The short and long term chart look very good to me. I have not seen one like
this in a while. One of my brokers bought this one several times and had to
sell out and cut his losses. About a week ago he said he hated the stock and
would not buy it again because of how many times he was stopped out. He just
went on vacation today. I figured his betrayal of the stock and many
insiders selling the stock might make the stock a good buy here ...
not to mention the trend. I will make sure not to punish myself too much by
holding if it reverses on me.
Thank You |
Using
the markets for reward and punishment might interfere with your sticking to
your system. Use TTP to experience the game and let it go.

Using
the Carrot
and
the Stick on Yourself
makes
you into a donkey.
Clip: http://www.epmbook.com/donkey.gif
|
|
Wed, 20 Aug 2003
How Do Stick to
a System?
I am assume you design a system and trade it. I've tried to design a
system many times but I can never seem to trade by it.
I have been a
professional trader for 5 years and every time I've tried to design a system
and trade it, things went wrong. Either the system stopped working or I
couldn't follow it. The only thing that has worked for me is to trade using
experience and use my fear by managing my risk.
How do you go
about designing a system?
There so many
little things that the mind seems to overlook when designing a system. Sort
of like trying to design a system to play basketball or play music. Don't
you think? |
Perhaps
you could take the feelings you have at the time you jump your system ...
into the Trading tribe Process.
Designing
systems and then not sticking to them sounds like drama ... coming up with
ways to force yourself to stick to your system is just more drama.

Maybe
glue can Help
you
stick to your system

Maybe
if you get a glue associate
to
help you put on the glue ...
Clips:
www.hi-flyer.com/Order/
orderng
http://puppy52.com/2002/g/oekaki/glue.gif |
|
Wed, 20 Aug 2003
Trading Tribe
in Vancouver, B.C.
Good Morning Ed.
I live in
Vancouver, B.C.. Are you aware of any Trading Tribe groups In the
Bellingham, Wa or Vancouver, B.C. area? Maybe any contacts who are looking
for other people to start a chapter?
As well, I seem to remember some time ago on your site that there was
mention of a home study course you were preparing. Any plans on a release
date yet? Thank you.
Sincerely |
See
the Tribe Directory Page for instructions about locating and starting
intentional communities.
I
am planning to write a book about TTP.
|
|
Wed, 20 Aug 2003
What Does Fred
Want?
Hello Ed Seykota,
I find your FAQ very useful and I use many of your insights not only in the
trading room but for life in general. Thanks for sharing them!
From your saying that "everyone always gets what they want, or at least
what Fred wants", I wonder if there is a method to identify what
Fred wants.
Sometimes, my
results are not in line with what I consciously want and, consciously, I
can't identify Fred's wishes. I would appreciate any additional insight
about this matter.
Thanks in advance
|
Fred
wants to communicate new experience to CM, so that CM can help re-program
Fred for optimal response, in case the situation arises again.
Fred
does not "want" anything else, like cars, jewelry, a better job, a
nice dinner or a great trade.
|
|